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Facing the Future

China and Singapore reaffirm their commitment to push forward bilateral cooperation amid growing economic and geopolitical uncertainty

By Yu Xiaodong Updated Feb.1

Xi Jinping, general secretary of the Communist Party of China Central Committee and Chinese president, meets with Senior Minister of Singapore Lee Hsien Loong at Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing, capital of China, November 26, 2024 (Photo by Xinhua)

From November 24 to 29, 2024, former Singaporean prime minister Lee Hsien Loong made a six-day visit to China. During the trip, Lee, now serving as senior minister, visited Beijing, Shanghai and Suzhou and met with Chinese leaders, including Chinese President Xi Jinping. 

Singapore has been deeply involved in China’s reform and opening-up process. During the visit, the two sides sent a clear message of willingness to continue and consolidate this unique bond in the interest of the two countries and with implications for the rest of the world.

Xi-Lee Meeting
During his meeting with President Xi on November 26, Lee said Singapore has full confidence in China’s future, adding that the country will continue deepening cooperation with China and take an active part in Chinese modernization. 

Noting that next year will mark the 35th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Singapore, Xi called on the two countries to strengthen high-level exchanges, further synergize development strategies and deepen cooperation in various fields to better benefit the two peoples, and to make greater contributions to regional peace and prosperity. 

Having served as Singapore’s prime minister for 20 years, Lee visited China 14 times during his tenure. Lee is of the foreign leaders who has visited China most frequently. In his meeting with Xi in March 2023, when Lee was still prime minster, the two sides agreed to elevate the bilateral relationship to an “all-round high-quality future-oriented partnership.” 

The meeting between Xi and Lee this year is the first since Lee stepped down as prime minister. Having established an extensive network of relationships with world leaders in Asia and the West, Lee remains an influential figure at home and abroad. 

His visit to China was closely watched by observers as Asia is bracing for a second Donald Trump presidency which has injected lingering uncertainty over the direction of future US trade policy. Prior to his visit to China, Lee made a working trip to the US, where he delivered a lecture at Harvard University and talked with prominent American strategic thinkers and corporate leaders. 

The night before the meeting between Xi and Lee, Trump announced new plans to impose new tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico upon his inauguration on January 20, fueling fears of a global trade war and spooking financial markets. 

Both leaders are well aware of the risks. Speaking ahead of a dinner hosted by Xi, Lee highlighted that tensions between major powers have intensified and that countries are emphasizing national security and supply chain resilience, instead of economic integration and international multilateral cooperation. 

“Our bilateral cooperation is especially valuable given the more uncertain and troubled international environment,” Lee said. “It makes it all the more important in such an environment for like-minded countries, big ones as well as small ones, to work together to develop our cooperation to the best of our ability for the benefit of our peoples.” 

President Xi pointed out that as major changes unseen in a century are taking place in the world and not a single country is immune, upholding solidarity, cooperation, openness and inclusiveness is the right path. 

In this context, Xi called for the bilateral relationship to be further strengthened to promote multilateralism. “China is ready to work with Singapore to practice true multilateralism, follow the trend of economic globalization, uphold international fairness and justice, reject bloc confrontation, division and antagonism, and build an Asian community with a shared future,” Xi said.

Singapore’s Unique Role
According to the Chinese Foreign Ministry, Xi and Lee had an exchange of views on major issues of common interest and concern, such as China-US relations and the regional situation. 

Under its policy of being a “friend to all and enemy to none,” Singapore has maintained close relations with major powers like China and the US and middle powers such as Australia, Japan and India. Not only does it rely on the US for security support, including advanced military hardware and training, granting the US access to its air and navy bases, the city state also maintains close economic and trade ties with the US. The US is Singapore’s second-largest trading partner, and the largest foreign investor in Singapore. 

In the meantime, Singapore has cultivated close economic ties with China. According to China’s Foreign Ministry, China has been Singapore’s largest trading partner for 11 consecutive years since 2013. In 2023, bilateral trade between China and Singapore amounted to US$108.39 billion. China is also Singapore’s largest export market and largest source of imports. In 2008, the two countries signed a free trade agreement (FTA), making Singapore the first Asian country to have a bilateral FTA with China. 

In January 2024, the two countries signed a mutual visa exemption agreement to allow citizens of China and Singapore to travel visa-free between the two countries for up to 30 days, greatly improving people-to-people exchanges. 

With this unique position, Singapore has positioned itself as a neutral interpreter between China and the West. In an article released on the website of the Asian Peace Program under the Asia Research Institute (ARI) at the National University of Singapore on December 4, 2023, Walter Woon, former Singaporean ambassador to Germany and the EU, offered a full description of Singapore’s special role between China and the West. 

“Singapore’s close relationship with both the West and China gives it a unique advantage as a more neutral interpreter of China for the Western world,” Woon said. “Singapore wants good relations with both China and the US. Singapore can quietly offer private and confidential advice to both sides to enhance mutual understanding between these two powers, without public grandstanding.” 

Since geopolitical rivalry between the US and China intensified after Trump launched a trade war against China during his first presidency, Lee and other Singaporean leaders urged the two countries to work together to reconcile their interests on various occasions. At the same time, they reiterated Singapore’s position to stay neutral and rejected being forced to choose sides. 

But as Washington’s anti-China position has become bipartisan consensus, it appears it will become increasingly difficult for Singapore to play its traditional role. Speaking ahead of the US presidential election at the FutureChina Global Forum held on October 18, 2024, Lee warned that with “deep-seated attitudes and forces” that have destabilized relations between the world’s two largest economies, US-China tensions will continue in the near future regardless of who became US president. 

At the same event, Lee expressed strong confidence in China’s resilience and ability to overcome the current hurdles. “I think that determination is there and it will cause them to move forward and see through the difficulties,” said Lee, responding to a question about economic woes faced by China.

‘Forward-Looking’
Lee expressed his confidence in China’s future development on several occasions in recent months, and he carried the same message during his trip to China. Prior to his meeting with President Xi, Lee visited Suzhou in East China’s Jiangsu Province on November 24, where he attended events that celebrated the 30th anniversary of the China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park (SIP) and met with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng. During a business event in Suzhou, Lee again warned against being “short-sighted” in writing China off. Stressing China’s ability to follow consistent policies over the long term, Lee said that no one should underestimate China. 

Launched in 1994 during the early stages of China’s reform and opening-up policy, the SIP was the first government-to-government project between China and Singapore, an agricultural area transformed into a modern hub for high-tech industries. Between 2016 and 2023, it was recognized by the Ministry of Commerce as the best performer among national industrial development zones for eight consecutive years, in terms of GDP size, foreign investment inflow and trade, high-tech and green transition, and its contribution to balancing inter-regional growth. 

Singapore has greatly increased its investment in China over the years since the SIP was established. Singapore has been the largest source of new investments in China for 11 consecutive years since 2013, surpassing Japan to become the largest cumulative source of foreign investment in China in April 2022. By the end of 2023, Singapore’s cumulative actual investment in China reached US$141.23 billion. 

The project was also raised during the meeting between Lee and President Xi. While Xi praised the project as a “good example of mutually beneficial cooperation and a witness of Singapore’s involvement in China’s reform and opening-up,” Lee highlighted that its success shows the world China’s stance of continuous reform and opening-up. 

Xi said that China welcomes Singapore to continue being a forerunner in cooperation with China, advance major cooperation projects, seize the opportunities brought by digital and green development, and write a new chapter in bilateral cooperation in the new era. “China will always focus on running its own affairs well, and has confidence in maintaining sound economic momentum in the long run and achieving high-quality development,” Xi added. 

Lee’s confidence in China’s future development is echoed by the city state’s new Prime Minister Lawrence Wong. In a media session on December 8, 2023, Wong, then deputy prime minister, said that given the scale of China’s economy, one should “never bet on the decline of China,” adding that Singapore will continue to find ways to add value to China. Wong stressed that the two countries have many mutually beneficial opportunities, with a continued “very healthy flow” of Singapore investments into China. It is widely expected that Wong will follow the path set by his predecessor on Singapore’s China policy. 

On November 15, 2024, less than two weeks before Xi and Lee met, Xi and Wong with on the sidelines of the APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting held in Lima, Peru. The two leaders affirmed the close and multi-faceted relationship between the two countries and agreed to deepen cooperation in future-oriented areas such as the green and digital economies. Wong reaffirmed that Singapore adopts “a clear and consistent one-China policy and is opposed to any form of Taiwan independence.” The two countries also signed 25 agreements in the 20th meeting of the China-Singapore Joint Council for Bilateral Cooperation, held at the Shangri-La Hotel in Singapore on November 11, the annual bilateral apex meeting, to boost cooperation in trade, finance and maritime areas. 

Speaking to Singapore media following his trip to China on November 29, Lee said that when he was prime minister, he was directly responsible for all cooperation projects between Singapore and China, which allowed him to engage with China “from a more long-term perspective” and to discuss bilateral relations with “a broader view.” As senior minister, he will “explore areas for enhanced cooperation, address issues that may arise, and assess how international developments might impact our collaboration,” he noted. 

According to Xu Liping, director of the Center for Southeast Asian Studies of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China and Singapore have great potential to cooperate in the digital economy and green development in the future, as highlighted by President Xi. 

“China holds advantages in green and low-carbon industries, while Singapore has extensive experience in building a global digital trade system, and cooperation between the two countries in the two areas is both complementary and mutually beneficial,” Xu said. 

More importantly, amid challenges and uncertainties, the statements by the leaders of China and Singapore send a clear and unequivocal signal to the international community that both sides will work together to uphold and practice true multilateralism. “It reflects the forward-looking, strategic and exemplary nature of the bilateral relationship,” Xu added.

Giant sculpture “Soaring” was built to commemorate the 30th anniversary of Suzhou Industrial Park, Suzhou, Jiangsu Province, the ffrst intergovernmental cooperation project between China and Singapore, October 2, 2024 (Photo by VCG)

Visitors take photos of the night view of Rafffes City Chongqing, an engineering marvel designed by world-renowned architect Moshe Safdie and the largest single investment by a Singapore company, Chongqing, September 30, 2023. It was developed by CapitaLand (Photo by VCG)

The Singapore Chinese Orchestra gives a concert at the National Maritime Museum, Tianjin, April 2, 2024 (Photo by VCG)

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